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This category contains 258 posts

Russia and Saudi to survive should oil dip below $20

Stefano F. Fugazzi (ABC ECONOMICS) – Hereafter an interesting infographics by Landesbank showing the cost of production of a barrel in oil-producing countries.  The reader will observe that Russia, Iran and Saudi Arabia could potentially sustain Brent oil prices below $20 ($17.20, $12.60 and $9.90 respectively) whereas most Western oil refineries are already struggling at … Continue reading

Has President Obama failed to revive the US economy?

Stefano Fugazzi (ABC Economics) – Earlier this month ABC Economics published an info-graphic analysis assessing how the US economy has fared under President Obama. Here we update that report (see “SPECIAL REPORT / How Has the Economy Performed Under Barack Obama?”) with a Wall Street Journal analysis showing how some indicators have evolved over the past eight … Continue reading

SPECIAL REPORT / How Has the Economy Performed Under Barack Obama?

a research by Stefano Francesco Fugazzi (ABC Economics) with Paola De Pascali – With the United States presidential election on the horizon (scheduled for Tuesday, November 8, 2016), it is time to review how America’s key macroeconomic indicators have fared under President Barack Obama’s two 4-year terms. Likewise Russian President Vladimir Putin (click here to read our economic review of Russia), Obama took office … Continue reading

Tassi Bce e Fed: differenze di obiettivi a cavallo dell’Atlantico

Estratto dalla Newsletter “The World of ABC Economics”, Nr 1, 12/2015:  https://abceconomicsdotcom1.files.wordpress.com/2015/12/abceconomics-news-nr1-1215.pdf LUIGI PATISSO – C’è chi sale e c’è chi scende. Nell’altalena dei tassi d’interesse gli Stati Uniti e l’Europa stanno rilevando degli andamenti divergenti: in rialzo quelli americani, al ribasso, con tendenza sotto lo zero, quelli europei.  A dettare le regole sono le … Continue reading

The Gaddafi lesson for Syria. Will VIX and Brent Oil follow the same pattern?

Stefano Fugazzi (ABC Economics) – The odds are against Syrian president Bashar al-Assad. As the conflict in Syria intensifies with US President Obama urging Russia to “act together against terror”, Assad’s days in power are nearing the end. Will VIX and Brent Oil follow the same pattern? The following analysis aims at observing how VIX … Continue reading

VIX and Terrorism. Why a coincidence with no causal effects

Stefano Fugazzi (ABC Economics) – Earlier this week we published two interesting researches elaborated by ABC Economics which assessed whether market movers could have possibly anticipated the occurrence of terrorist acts. The VIX Index Always Predicts Terrorist Attacks (?) Gold and Oil contraddict VIX Index on terror attack warnings To test this hypothesis we selected: … Continue reading

Gold and Oil contradict VIX Index on terror attack warnings

A research by Stefano Fugazzi (ABC Economics) – Having previously observed that the VIX Index seems to be able to somehow prewarn the financial markets of upcoming major acts of terror – with the Chicago-based “fear” index rising in all observed instances (9/11, Madrid and London bombings, Charlie Hebdo and Paris Attacks) –  we now … Continue reading

The VIX Index Always Predicts Terrorist Attacks (?)

A research by Stefano Fugazzi (ABC Economics) – Earlier today we published an analysis by Nik Crepaldi highlighting the fact that the VIX Index rose ahead of the Paris Attacks. Hereafter I extended the analysis to cover some of the most notable Al-Qaeda/ISIS-related terrorist acts since 9/11. But firstly, let us briefly define the VIX … Continue reading

#ParisAttacks L’Indice della Paura VIX ci aveva messo in stato di allerta

a cura di Nik Crepaldi per ABC Economics Dietro alle stanze segrete degli operatori di borsa professionisti e delle sale operative che gestiscono i patrimoni proprietari delle banche di investimento c’ e’ un lento adagio che recita:” tutto ciò che ti serve sapere e’ nei grafici e’ tutto scritto li ” Potrebbe anche interessarti: THE … Continue reading

Persistent low oil prices to put out of business 1 in 4 firms

Stefano Fugazzi (ABC Ecocnomics) – According to Bloomberg, last week we witnessed the biggest surge in US energy credit risk since December 2014 with the index breaking into the 1,000bps – as shown in the graph below: Why is the US energy credit risk on the rise? According to Bloomberg, falling oil prices are putting under pressure not … Continue reading

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